No global recovery yet

The world economy is still becalmed. World trade volume fell 0.8pc in August. The next cycle of growth has not yet reached “escape velocity”. We continue to be in a contained global depression, punctuated by bursts of weak growth that peter out. It is not a disaster. It is not healthy either.

Continue reading

Most Americans accumulating debt faster than they’re saving for retirement

A majority of Americans with 401(k)-type savings accounts are accumulating debt faster than they are setting aside money for retirement, further undermining the nation’s troubled system for old-age saving, a new report has found. Three in five workers with defined contribution accounts are “debt savers,” according to the report released Thursday, meaning their increasing mortgages, […]

Continue reading

The Fed Can Only Fail

The basic predicament we are in is that the current crop of leaders in the halls of monetary and political power do not appear to understand the dimensions of our situation. The mind-boggling part about all this is that it’s not really all that hard to grasp. Our collective predicament is simply this: Nothing can grow […]

Continue reading

Another Durable Goods Debacle, This Time Masked By Boeing Order Deluge

The headline September Durable Goods number was great: rising at 3.7%, this was well above the August revised 0.2% increase and far above expectations of a 2.3% increase. However, a quick glance into the reasons shows why the reality is – once again – far uglier. Actually, the reason is just one: Boeing, which reported […]

Continue reading

Gold Bulls Persist on Dollar Drop as Stimulus Kept: Commodities

Gold analysts are bullish for a second week on speculation that prolonged U.S. stimulus and a weakening dollar will boost demand for the metal as a haven. Seventeen analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News expect prices to advance next week, nine are bearish and six neutral. The Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Index, a measure against 10 currencies, slid to […]

Continue reading

While Bernanke May Not Understand Gold, It Seems Gold Certainly Understands Bernanke

“We see upside surprise risks on gold and silver in the years ahead,” is how UBS commodity strategy team begins a deep dive into a multi-factor valuation perspective of the precious metals. The key to their expectation, intriguingly, that new regulation will put substantial pressure on banks to deleverage – raising the onus on the Fed […]

Continue reading

Gold and silver prices bounce back as the Fed stops manipulating them down and why this will continue

The big sell orders at the end of the day have stopped in the bullion markets and the prices of gold and silver have rebounded in good measure. That’s the win-win scenario that ArabianMoney forecast would follow the raising of the debt ceiling (click here). The bullion banks are no longer getting late night calls […]

Continue reading

Measured Against Gold, US Dollar Purchasing Power Drops By 99.9%

While it’s clear none of us will live to see the next 300 years, the next 30 should be quite interesting. As the world continues forward on a pathway of zero interest rates and zero global “hard-money” backing—further monetary expansion should (over time) push this chart reading closer down to that same number of “zero”. […]

Continue reading

Central Banks Drop Tightening Talk as Easy Money Goes On

The Bank of Canada’s dropping of language about the need for future interest-rate increases and today’s decisions by central banks in Norway, Sweden and the Philippines to leave their rates on hold unite them with counterparts in reinforcing rather than retracting loose monetary policy. The Federal Reserve delayed a pullback in asset purchases, while emerging markets from Hungary to Chile cut […]

Continue reading

Gold Futures Advance to Three-Week High on Stimulus Speculation

Gold futures rose to a three-week high on speculation that the Federal Reserve will maintain the pace of monetary stimulus to boost economic growth. Fed policy makers will delay reducing $85 billion in monthly bond purchases until March, according to the median estimate of 40 economists in a Bloomberg survey last week. The partial U.S. government 16-day […]

Continue reading